This blog follows the property market in Northampton with a particular emphasis on buy-to-let. On here you'll find general commentary about the market, plus properties that may represent decent buys. I own a large estate agency in Northampton and am myself a landlord with an established portfolio. If you're looking to invest, but are unsure what will work best, I'm happy to offer a (free) second opinion. If you have a property to sell I can help with that too! Email richard.baker@belvoir.co.uk

Wednesday 31 July 2024

Average mortgage rates: How have they changed over the last 24 years?

 


The graphic illustrates the average five-year fixed rate mortgage in the UK since 2000, highlighting significant fluctuations over the past two decades. Following the credit crunch, mortgage rates experienced a considerable decline, reaching historic lows in the subsequent years. However, recent economic conditions and inflationary pressures have caused a sharp rise in these rates. Despite this increase, current rates remain well below the peaks seen in the 1990s, when they soared to 14.88%.

The importance of mortgage rates cannot be overstated, as they directly influence the affordability of property purchases and the broader health of the housing market. The Bank of England's anticipated rate cuts in the coming months are promising for prospective buyers, as lower mortgage rates can significantly reduce monthly repayments, making home ownership more accessible. 

For those interested in discussing the Northampton property market and how these changes might impact their plans, feel free to give me a call. As a local estate & letting agent, I’m here to help navigate these financial shifts and find the best opportunities for you.


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Tuesday 30 July 2024

PROPERTY MARKET INSIGHTS: What is the house price growth in your region?

 




Since 1989, the property market across the UK has experienced significant growth in house prices, with variations across different regions. 

Here is the increase in average house prices, ordered from the lowest to the highest:

 

  • East Anglia: 245% increase
  • Yorkshire and Humber: 254% increase
  • East Midlands: 270% increase
  • Wales: 299% increase
  • West Midlands: 314% increase
  • South West: 318% increase
  • South East: 321% increase
  • North East: 328% increase
  • Scotland: 346% increase
  • North West: 401% increase
  • London: 442% increase
  • Northern Ireland: 549% increase

 

These statistics highlight the dynamic changes in the UK property market over the past few decades, with some regions experiencing more rapid growth than others. Understanding your Northampton home's value in this evolving property market can provide crucial insights for your future plans. 

If you're curious about how these trends have impacted the value of your home in Northampton, don't hesitate to contact me for a no-obligation, free market appraisal on 01604 801 962




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Friday 26 July 2024

Northampton Starter Homes 25.3% Cheaper Today Than 35 Years Ago

 


It might surprise many that, despite significant inflation over the past few years, buying a house today is still more affordable as a percentage of take-home pay.

The average value of a typical Northampton first-time buyer property has surged by 296.9% since 1989 (35 years ago), reaching £222,800 in 2024. So, the title of this article sounds wrong.

Yet the headline price one pays for your home is almost irrelevant. Indeed, it is what it costs each month out of one's salary. You see, despite this increase in house prices, the monthly mortgage payments that first-time buyers in Northampton need to make today are significantly lower as a proportion of their take-home pay compared to 1989.

According to data from the Nationwide Building Society, today's first-time buyers in Northampton spend 33.2% of their household take-home pay on mortgage payments, a substantially lower amount than the 44.4% required in 1989. This is because wages were lower, and the Bank of England's base rate was 14.88%. This represents a 25.3% reduction in the financial burden of monthly mortgage payments today for Northampton first-time buyers compared to 1989.



One might argue that 1989 was long ago and irrelevant to today's economic climate. I would disagree. However, a more recent comparison from 2007 reveals that first-time buyers in Northampton had to allocate 39.3% of their household income to mortgage payments. This is still 15.5% higher than today's figures, underscoring the improved property affordability in Northampton over the past few decades.

So why has this happened? Real incomes (after inflation) have risen, and interest rates are much lower. That is true.

UK household incomes have grown in real terms in the last 35 years by 25.02% (i.e., after inflation), while interest rates are at 5.25%

Yet the improved affordability of housing in Northampton for first-time buyers is influenced by several factors beyond lower interest rates and increased household incomes. One significant aspect is the overall change in the housing market dynamics, including government policies, the availability of mortgages, and demographic shifts.

UK Government Policies and Mortgage Availability

Government policies supporting first-time buyers, such as Help to Buy schemes and favourable mortgage products, have made homeownership more accessible. These policies often provide financial assistance or guarantee parts of the mortgage, reducing the initial financial barriers for first-time buyers. Moreover, the availability of competitive mortgage products with lower interest rates and longer repayment terms (over 30 and 35 years) has eased the burden on first-time buyers.

Demographic Shifts and Urban Development in Northampton

Demographic changes, including the growth of urban areas and improved infrastructure, have also contributed to the housing market's evolution. With its strategic location and improved transport links, Northampton has become an attractive option for commuters and young families. This has increased demand for housing, driving development projects that cater to the needs of first-time buyers with affordable housing options.

Rent vs. Buy in Northampton: Economic Considerations

As new rental prices continue to rise at an alarming rate, the economic advantage of buying over renting becomes more pronounced. Renting often involves annual rent increases, offering no long-term financial security. In contrast, buying a home with a fixed-rate mortgage provides predictability in monthly payments and the potential for property value appreciation.

However, many people will counter that by saying first-time buyers must find large deposits. The average first-time buyer deposit in 2023 was an eye-watering £53,414. Remember, though, that this is just an average, and 95% mortgages (meaning a 5% deposit would need to be found) have been available for over 14 years and are comparatively easy to obtain with a decent credit history! Of course, a large deposit (25%) will get to a lower interest rate (at the time of writing, the best 95% mortgage/5% deposit was at 5.2%, versus a 75% mortgage/25% deposit mortgage at 4.24%), yet if one extends the number of years one has for the mortgage, then the monthly payments will come down. (Remember to take advice from someone qualified to advise you on this).

One advantage is that homeowners build equity, which can be a significant financial asset over time, whereas renters do not gain any ownership benefits despite continuous payments.

If you don't buy a home, once you retire and have no significant assets, you should receive support from the government for your rental payments. However, as your family will have probably flown the nest by the time you retire, you will only qualify for support for a smaller home (meaning you will either need to move home when you reach retirement or supplement the rent from personal funds).

Final Thoughts

The Northampton property market has seen a roller coaster shift in affordability for first-time buyers over the past 35 years. While property prices have increased substantially, the proportion of household income required for mortgage payments has decreased due to lower interest rates, real-term income growth, and supportive government policies. This improved affordability, combined with the rising cost of rent, makes buying a more attractive and financially sound option for many.

The economic landscape has changed significantly, favouring first-time buyers in ways that were impossible in 1989 or even 2007. As the market continues to evolve, first-time buyers in Northampton can take advantage of the current conditions to secure their financial future through homeownership. The reduced financial burden and the potential for long-term gains make now a suitable time for those considering stepping onto the property ladder.


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Thursday 25 July 2024

What is July's average £ per square foot?

 


Welcome back to news of Northampton’s property market, where each week I bring you different local property market stats and trends. This week I am back again with the July’s £/sq.ft statistics. 

The average property presently in Northampton is on the market for £275 per square foot, a figure representing the current heartbeat of Northampton’s property market.

Last month it was £276 per square foot.

That doesn’t mean house prices have changed by that percentage, just the mix of properties for sale, thus changing the £/sq.ft figure. This snapshot is crucial for Northampton homeowners and landlords; it's not just a number but a story of our community's property market.

Each month, I will revisit that figure and use it to gauge the health of our local property market. 

Are you keen to know how your home aligns with these trends?

At Belvoir Northampton I invite you to a no obligation chat about your property's potential value – no strings attached.

Stay informed, stay ahead, and stay connected with Northampton’s property market beat.


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Tuesday 23 July 2024

Discovering Northampton: Part 8

 


Our latest heat map provides a detailed view of Northampton’s property market, illustrating the percentage of homes valued below the national average price of £281,000 in the different neighbourhoods and areas of the town and surrounding area.

This visualisation not only helps prospective Northampton buyers understand where more affordable homes are located but also provides sellers with insights into current market conditions in their locality. 

As estate agents in Northampton, we believe this tool will aid in making informed decisions in this dynamic property market. Are there any surprises in here? Please do share them in the comments.


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Sunday 21 July 2024

Who has the most mortgages?

 


The graphic provides a clear insight into the percentage of homeowners with mortgages across different age groups in the UK. 

Interestingly, the data reveals that 81% of homeowners aged 18 to 24 have mortgages, which might be lower than expected given the financial challenges typically faced by younger adults. This could be due to parental support?

The 25 to 34 age group sees the highest percentage at 92%, reflecting the peak period of mortgage acquisition. As age increases, the percentage of homeowners with mortgages decreases, with 87% in the 35 to 44 group and 77% in the 45 to 54 group. This trend continues significantly in older age groups: 55 to 64-year-olds at 39%, and only 7% for those aged 65 and over. This sharp decline highlights the natural progression of mortgage repayment over a homeowner's life.

The statistics of Northampton homeowners with mortgages, broken down by age, should be released later this year or early next year. Once they have been, I will share them with you.

In the meantime, do you have any observations or comments on what you see regarding the UK figures? Any surprises?

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Friday 19 July 2024

Northampton Property Market – 1979 vs 2024

 


Roll the clock back to 1979, a year marked by a seismic shift in the UK government with Margaret Thatcher coming to power. This was a momentous time for the country, symbolising a new direction. Fast forward to 2024, and we could be about to experience another significant change with Sir Keir Starmer leading the Labour Party to victory.

Such pivotal moments often set the stage for substantial changes in various sectors, including the property market. This article explores the evolution of Northampton's property market from 1979 to the present day, highlighting the long-term benefits of homeownership and the dynamics of the buy-to-let market.

Northampton Property Values Since 1979

Reflecting on the changes since 1979, property values in Northampton have soared by an astounding 1382.4%.

The average Northampton home has risen in value from £18,614 in 1979 to £275,942 today. To contextualise this, inflation over the same period has only been 374.7%.

This dramatic increase underscores why property ownership has become increasingly challenging for many, making it an attractive proposition for landlords.

Shifts in Property Ownership in Northampton

Examining local authority data for Northampton in 1979, 33.0% of residents lived in council/social houses. Today, that figure is 14.4%.

This significant decline can be primarily attributed to Margaret Thatcher's policy that allowed council tenants to purchase their homes. Meanwhile, the private rental sector has tripled, with the proportion of privately rented properties rising from 6.1% to 19.2%.

Contrary to what one might expect, the homeownership rate in Northampton has grown over the years. In 1979, 60.9% of the Northampton area population owned their homes. Today, this figure stands at 66.3%.

The Evolution of the Northampton Buy-to-Let Market

The backdrop of reduced council house availability and a growing private rental sector sets the stage for the buy-to-let market in Northampton. Historically, this market has relied heavily on property value appreciation, often at the expense of yield. However, recent changes in tax laws and landlord-tenant regulations are reshaping this landscape.

While challenging for some, these regulatory changes present opportunities for astute investors. Landlords might need to reassess their strategies, adjust their financing methods, or explore investment opportunities beyond Northampton. This shift will likely highlight investments with healthier yields, fostering long-term stability over short-term speculation.

Long-Term Investment vs. Short-Term Gains

As we consider the value of buying a home versus the allure of short-term investments, it's essential to understand the broader implications for Northampton homeowners and landlords. The substantial increase in property values since 1979 illustrates the long-term benefits of homeownership. Despite market fluctuations, owning a home has historically provided significant financial returns.

Short-term investments, while potentially lucrative, carry higher risks and can be influenced by transient market trends. The recent changes in the property market and evolving regulations further complicate short-term investment strategies. For Northampton homeowners, the focus should be on long-term value appreciation, stability, and sustainable returns.

Opportunities for Northampton Landlords

The current market presents unique opportunities for Northampton landlords. The regulatory changes might cause some landlords to panic, leading to reduced competition for lucrative buy-to-let properties. This scenario offers a more stable environment for knowledgeable and experienced landlords to thrive. The emphasis will shift towards properties with strong yield potentials rather than speculative short-term gains.

In this evolving market, it’s crucial for Northampton landlords to stay informed and adapt their strategies accordingly. This might involve exploring different property types, adjusting rental models, or diversifying investments to include areas with better yield prospects. The key is to maintain a long-term perspective, focusing on sustainable growth and stable returns.

Final Thoughts

Reflecting on the dramatic rise in Northampton property values since 1979, it's clear that long-term property investment can yield substantial returns. While the market has undergone significant changes, the fundamentals of property investment remain robust. For Northampton homeowners and landlords, the challenge is to navigate the evolving landscape with a focus on long-term value and stability.

Opportunities are abundant for those who are prepared to adapt and embrace change. As we look ahead, the emphasis on yield and sustainable investment strategies will become increasingly important.

For those interested in learning more about the Northampton property market, I invite you to visit my office for a chat or explore the insights available on my Northampton property market blog articles. You’ll find a wealth of information dedicated to navigating the complexities of the property market in Northampton.


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Thursday 18 July 2024

Key Points from the King's Speech 2024 for Northampton Homeowners and Landlords

 


The King’s Speech at the State Opening of Parliament sets the agenda for the government's priorities. This year's speech, delivered by King Charles, is the first from a Labour government since 2010 following the recent general election.

With 30+ bills highlighted, there are significant plans, though nothing particularly groundbreaking or seismic for Northampton homeowners or landlords.

1.     The Renters' Rights Bill

A major focus is the Renters' Rights Bill, Labour's version of the previous Renters (Reform) Bill. This aims to overhaul the private rental sector in England, ending tenant mistreatment and providing a secure step up for aspiring first time buyers.

Key proposals include:

  • Abolishing Section 21 with clearer grounds for possession.
  • Introducing 'Awaab's Law' with clear legal expectations for landlords.
  • Strengthening tenant rights, allowing challenges to rent increases and preventing rental bidding wars.
  • Creating a digital private rented sector database for landlords, tenants, and councils.
  • Requiring landlords to consider tenants' requests to keep pets, with the option for insurance against pet damage.
  • Implementing a Decent Homes Standard for the private rental sector.
  • Enhancing local councils' enforcement powers to target rogue landlords.
  • Establishing a new ombudsman service for dispute resolution.
  • Making it illegal to discriminate against tenants on benefits or with children.

Most of these points were in the Tory Renter’s Reform Bill – so there is nothing here new or particular scary for the decent landlords out there.

2. Planning and Infrastructure Bill

Labour aims to accelerate housebuilding and infrastructure improvements through the Planning and Infrastructure Bill. The bill focuses on:

  • Increasing the capacity of local planning authorities.
  • Modernising local planning committees.
  • Rationalisation the planning system for the delivery of critical infrastructure.

This legislation will apply to England and Wales, with some aspects relevant to Scotland.

3. Leasehold and Commonhold Reform Bill

Labour plans to publish draft legislation to extend the Leasehold and Commonhold Reform Act 2024. The goal is to provide homeowners with greater rights over their properties, including:

  • Addressing ground rent issues.
  • Reinvigorating commonholds.
  • Putting into action the remaining Law Commission recommendations.

These legal reforms will affect England & Wales only.

Again, it must be stressed, all these matters above are not law yet, just what the Government plan to introduce to parliament to make law in the future.

Should you have any questions about any of this, do not hesitate to contact us on 01604 801 962.


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Monday 15 July 2024

8 UK Buy-to-Let Facts for Northampton Landlords

 


The UK buy-to-let market continues to be a significant sector within the property market. Here are eight fascinating facts:

  1. Biggest BTL Lender: Lloyds TSB has the most buy-to-let mortgages totalling nearly £8 billion. Nationwide is 2nd at £6.6bn and Nat West is 3rd at £5.9bn.
  2. Average BTL Yield: Investors can expect an average yield of 6.7%, making it a lucrative option. 
  3. Percentage of BTL Mortgages: 12.8% of all mortgages in the UK are buy-to-let.
  4. Total Value of BTL Mortgages: The total value stands at an impressive £24.4 billion.
  5. Average BTL Mortgage: The average buy-to-let mortgage is £158,500.
  6. Average London BTL Mortgage: In London, this figure rises to £273,050, reflecting higher property prices.
  7. Number of BTL Homes in the UK: There are approximately 4.6 million buy-to-let homes across the country. In 1996, it was 1.9 million.
  8. Best Postcode for Yield: BD1 offers the highest rental yields, making it an attractive investment area. The worst is W1 in London, which offers yields of only 2.3%

 

If you're a Northampton landlord or considering becoming one, contact us for expert advice and support. We can help you maximise your investment in the buy-to-let market.


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Friday 12 July 2024

Northampton Property Market Insights: How to Sell Your Home Faster in 2024

 


The length of time it takes to sell a property is a crucial indicator of the health of the property market. This metric can provide insight into supply and demand dynamics, the efficiency of estate agencies, and overall market confidence.

For Northampton homeowners and investors alike, understanding these trends can inform better decision-making. When properties sell quickly, it often reflects a strong market with high demand, whereas longer sale times might suggest a surplus of properties or decreased buyer interest.

Therefore, monitoring how long it takes to sell a property can help gauge the market's performance and make informed decisions about buying or selling.

Average Time to Sell a Property in Northampton

Whether you are a Northampton landlord looking to liquidate your buy-to-let investment or a Northampton homeowner contemplating selling your home, understanding the latest market trends is crucial. Recent data from Q2 2024 provides valuable insights into how the Northampton property market has been performing.

Recent independent research indicates that of the 1,409 Northampton homes sold in Q2 2024, it has taken an average of 38 days to agree on a sale (Sold STC). This is a slight improvement from Q1 2024, where it took an average of 41 days.

However, not all properties sell in the same time frame. There is often quite a difference in selling times when we consider different price bands.

Performance by Northampton Price Bands

The time it took to find a buyer in Northampton in Q2 varied by price band:

  • Under £100k: 41 days
  • £100k to £200k: 34 days
  • £200k to £300k: 35 days
  • £300k to £400k: 40 days
  • £400k to £500k: 41 days
  • £500k to £1m: 53 days
  • £1m +: 27 days

As you can see, there isn’t that much difference between most of the Northampton house price bands.

In comparison, the UK average sale times for Q2 2024 are:

  • Under £100k: 69 days
  • £100k to £200k: 63 days
  • £200k to £300k: 69 days
  • £300k to £400k: 62 days
  • £400k to £500k: 64 days
  • £500k to £1m: 81 days
  • £1m +: 92 days

Tips for Northampton Homeowners to Expedite Their Property Sale

If you're a Northampton homeowner looking to sell your property quickly, there are several strategies you can employ to expedite the process:

  1. Choose the Best Northampton Estate Agent: Selecting a reputable Northampton estate agent with a proven track record is crucial. Ask potential agents how long it typically takes them to find a buyer. An experienced agent can provide insights and tips tailored to your specific situation.
  2. Ensure Your Northampton Home is a High-Quality Listing: Make sure your Northampton property is listed on all the major property portals. Professional photography and a well-crafted description can significantly impact how quickly your property garners interest. High-quality images, floor plans and detailed, accurate descriptions are vital in making your home stand out.
  3. Effective Marketing: Given the increased number of properties on the market (694,281 on the market now versus 432,238 two years ago), additional marketing efforts can make a significant difference. Consider extra marketing services offered by your estate agent, such as premium listings or social media promotions.
  4. Competitive Pricing: Price your property competitively. Overpricing can lead to longer times on the market, while a well-priced property can attract more immediate interest.
  5. Flexibility and Presentation: Be flexible with viewing times and ensure your property is always clean and presentable for potential buyers. First impressions are crucial, and a well-maintained property can expedite the sale process.

 

Tips for Northampton Landlords to Expedite Their Property Sale

If you're considering selling your rental property, it's important to weigh the pros and cons of keeping your tenants in place during the sale. In some instances, having a tenanted property can be advantageous. It appeals to investors seeking rental income from day one, and a well-maintained home with responsible tenants can showcase the property's value. On the other hand, selling a property with tenants can pose challenges. Tenants may not cooperate with viewings or may not maintain the property in a presentable state, potentially deterring prospective buyers.

To determine the best approach for your specific situation, it’s crucial to consider factors such as the current market conditions, the nature of your tenancy agreement, and the type of buyers you aim to attract. For example, if the property is in a high-demand area with a robust rental market, keeping the tenants might be beneficial. However, if your target market is owner-occupiers, vacant possession might make the property more appealing.

We understand that this decision can be complex and dependent on various factors unique to your property. Therefore, we encourage you to give us a call so we can provide tailored advice based on a thorough evaluation of your Northampton rental property. Our expertise can help ensure you make the most informed decision, whether that involves selling with tenants in situ or opting for vacant possession.

Property Market Context

It is important to note that these statistics only relate to the properties that have successfully sold. Nationally, only about 53% of homes listed for sale in the last 12 months have ended up selling (i.e. exchanging contracts & completing). This means that nearly half of the properties on the market do not achieve a sale, often due to overpricing or poor marketing. As a leading property agent in Northampton, I am committed to providing you with the best advice and strategies to ensure your property stands out and sells quickly. By following these tips and leveraging my expertise, you can increase your chances of a successful and speedy sale.

Understanding and adapting to market conditions is key. With the right approach and the best professional advice, you can navigate the property market efficiently and achieve your selling goals.


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Tuesday 9 July 2024

Northampton Property Market Review: The Early July 2024 Update


 



Northampton homeowner or landlord? Curious about the trends in the Northampton’s property market? One measure is the average price paid for homes bought and sold in Northampton in the last 12 months, on a rolling month by month basis. Each month I like to share this figure, and whilst this figure alone will not tell you much, its trend will. My followers on social media know I write regular articles on the Northampton property market. It is in those articles I expand and clarify what these monthly figures mean to you.

Whether you are contemplating selling your property or simply interested in understanding its current market value, I’m here to help. I provide detailed, no-obligation free valuations and market appraisals designed to guide your future property related decisions.

Keep yourself informed and a step ahead in understanding the true worth of your property in Northampton. For a hassle-free, comprehensive market evaluation of your home, contact us at 01604 801 962 Let's explore the potential of your Northampton property together.




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Monday 8 July 2024

Regional Round Up of the UK Property Market - 2024 vs 2023

 


As an estate and letting agent in Northampton, it's always exciting to report positive trends in the property market. The first half of 2024 has shown remarkable growth compared to the same period in 2023, highlighting a robust and vibrant housing sector. Every region has seen growth in the number of homes sold stc. 

 

Looking at each region…

 

·      Leading the growth is East Anglia, where house sales surged from 52,573 in Q1/Q2 2023 to 64,722 in the same period of 2024, marking a 23.1% increase. This significant uptick demonstrates the area's appeal to buyers and investors alike.

·      In joint second, The East Midlands saw a growth of 17.2%, with sales climbing from 37,650 to 44,115. This is a clear indicator of rising demand and growing confidence in the region.

·      Sharing the second place podium is London, which also experienced a 17.2% growth, with sales increasing from 51,984 to 60,914. Despite the city's high prices, its allure remains strong, attracting numerous buyers.

·      Next is the South East, with sales up from 79,702 to 93,093, resulting in a 16.8% increase. This region continues to be a hotspot for property buyers.

·      The West Midlands also saw a significant increase of 15.8%, with sales up from 41,405 to 47,941.

·      In the North West, sales climbed from 56,496 to 65,368, representing a 15.7% increase. This steady growth highlights the region's robust market conditions.

·      Yorkshire witnessed a 14.9% growth, with sales increasing from 40,571 to 46,621.

·      The North East experienced a growth of 13.1%, with sales going from 20,656 to 23,362. This growth, though smaller compared to other regions, still signifies a positive trend.

·      In the South West, sales increased from 53,528 to 60,071, a 12.2% growth.

·      Wales experienced an 11.2% increase, with sales rising from 23,339 to 25,948.

·      Scotland performed well, with sales increasing from 42,022 to 46,832, an 11.4% growth.

·      In last place, yet not least, Ulster saw a modest increase of 10.4%, with sales rising from 11,408 to 12,599.

 

This positive trend across all regions is excellent news for homeowners and investors alike. 

 

If you're considering moving in the next 6 to 12 months, don't hesitate to give me a call on 01604 801 962 for a no-obligation chat. The current market conditions are favourable, and I'd be delighted to assist you in making the most of this exciting time in Northampton’s property market.

 

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Friday 5 July 2024

Labour’s Housing and Property Market Manifesto: What Northampton Homeowners & Landlords Should Know

 


Now we know Labour will be taking the reins of government and ushering in a new era of policies and promises, particularly in housing and property markets. Their manifesto outlines ambitious plans to address the chronic issues of housing affordability, renters' rights, and homelessness. However, the practical implementation of these initiatives, especially in a local context like Northampton, raises significant questions. Yet before we look at those, it is essential to see what has happened up to this election.

Impact of the General Election on the UK Property Market

Despite the anticipation and uncertainty surrounding the general election, the UK property market has shown resilience and strength. For June, UK house prices for homes sold (subject to contract) remained robust at £348 per square foot, marking a 5.1% increase compared to December 2023. This demonstrates the market's ability to sustain growth even amidst political changes.

The volume of property listings has also seen a notable rise, with 35.6k UK listings recorded this week, reflecting a 7.5% increase compared to the year-to-date average from 2017 to 2020. This suggests that homeowners remain confident in the market and continue to list their properties despite the election.

Sales figures further illustrate the market's positive trajectory. Total gross sales reached 26,198, 6.9% higher than the average from 2017 to 2019 and 6.4% above the 2024 weekly average. Additionally, net sales this week stood at 20,028, representing a 20.8% increase compared to the same week in 2023. While there has been a slight uptick in sale fall-throughs, at just under 1 in 4 sales (23.5%), this is still below the seven-year long-term average of 24.8%, indicating stability in the market.

In summary, the recent general election has not significantly impacted the UK property market. House prices have continued to rise, listings and sales have increased, and the market remains strong, providing a positive outlook for homeowners and landlords.

So, let us address the future.

Addressing the Housing Shortage

Labour has set a bold target to build at least 150,000 council and social homes each year. This move aims to tackle the severe shortage of affordable housing, ensuring that more people have access to secure and decent homes. Many of these new homes will be council houses, providing affordable options for families and individuals. However, the manifesto lacks clarity on where the funding (£18.9 billion per year to build those council and social homes, excluding the cost of the land) for this extensive construction project will come from, raising concerns about the feasibility of such an ambitious goal.

Their manifesto includes reinstating housebuilding targets for local authorities, hiring 300 more planning officers funded by increased stamp duty for overseas buyers, and selecting sites for new towns by year-end. Compulsory purchase rules will be revised to eliminate 'hope value,' some green belt areas may be reclassified as 'grey belt' for potential development. Local buyers will be given priority for new homes, and a permanent mortgage guarantee scheme is proposed.

Despite some practical ideas, Labour’s approach faces challenges. Greater use of compulsory purchase powers could help provide affordable housing, but balancing property rights and addressing NIMBY’ism within the environmental movement will be difficult. Previous governments have struggled with ambitious housebuilding plans, and Labour's stance on issues like nutrient neutrality rules remains vague, raising doubts about their ability to implement these changes effectively.

Enhancing Renters’ Rights

With Labour's plan to abolish Section 21 evictions, renters can expect more stability, which currently allows landlords to evict tenants without a reason. However, this change will only be implemented once the government has reformed the courts, aiming to provide more security for renters. This could take years to sort. Additionally, Labour intends to introduce rent controls to cap excessive rent hikes, which has proven contentious in other markets. Historical data from Scotland and worldwide indicate that rent controls often lead to decreased investment in rental properties and a reduction in the overall quality of available housing, potentially causing more harm than good.

Other key Labour measures include ending bidding wars for rental properties, capping upfront payments required to secure a rental, and mandating that all rental homes meet an EPC rating of C or above by 2030. These policies are designed to provide more stability and affordability for renters, with Labour estimating that these energy efficiency improvements could save tenants £250 annually. While these changes intend to benefit tenants, they also impose new responsibilities on landlords, requiring them to invest in property upgrades and adhere to stricter rental practices.

Another significant change for the rental sector is the creation of a national landlord register. This initiative aims to improve standards and accountability in the private rental market, ensuring landlords maintain their properties to a decent standard.

Supporting First-Time Buyers

Labour's manifesto also promises to support first-time buyers by reducing the barriers to homeownership. This includes increasing the availability of affordable housing and offering financial incentives. Such measures could stimulate market activity and make it easier for young people and families to purchase their first home, although the specifics of these policies remain vague.

Promoting Housing Standards and Sustainability

To ensure all homes provide a safe and decent living environment, Labour plans to enforce a Decent Homes Standard. This standard will focus on improving safety, decency, and energy efficiency, setting clear criteria for what constitutes a 'decent' home. Additionally, millions of homes will be retrofitted to enhance energy efficiency, reduce carbon emissions, and lower energy bills. This initiative reflects a strong commitment to sustainability, which could also create new opportunities and challenges for the property market in Northampton.

Tackling Homelessness

Labour is committed to ending rough sleeping within five years by increasing support and housing options for people experiencing homelessness. This pledge highlights a significant focus on social welfare and community well-being.

Regulating the Housing Market

Labour also intends to reform land and property taxes to ensure fairness and efficiency in the housing market. Additionally, they aim to curb property speculation and reduce the number of vacant homes by imposing higher taxes on empty properties. These measures could stabilise the market and make housing accessible to needy people.

Implications for Northampton Landlords and Homeowners

These policies will bring changes, especially for Northampton landlords. Increased regulation, particularly in the rental sector, will require landlords to ensure they are extracting the maximum value of their investment. It shocks me that so many landlords haven't increased their rents for years. With some of these changes on the horizon, Northampton landlords should seriously consider making those changes in the coming months. Call the office on 01604 809 917 if you need any advice.

The push for affordable housing and support for first-time buyers might alter market dynamics in the rental and lower-priced starter home markets, potentially impacting property prices and rental rates (yet not in a big way). Furthermore, focusing on energy efficiency and sustainability will likely lead to new opportunities and challenges in property development and management.

In my considered opinion, the changes for Northampton homeowners will be quite minimal. Building more homes will temper house price growth, yet that isn't always a bad thing. People tend to move when they need to move, not based on house prices. So overall, I can't see a huge change for Northampton homeowners over the next five years.

Overall, for all property owners, it is essential to remain realistic.

Historically, not all manifesto promises come to fruition. The Conservative government managed to start (let alone finish) only 55% of their 2019 manifesto commitments. Given this precedent, it's reasonable to doubt that Labour will deliver all their promises, let alone swiftly.

In conclusion, while Labour's manifesto presents a comprehensive plan to address housing issues, it will likely take time before significant changes are felt in Northampton. Landlords should prepare for a slightly more regulated environment. Yet, we have seen increased regulation over the last decade, so the immediate impacts may be limited as the government navigates the complexities of implementing these ambitious policies.

 


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