Navigating the property market in Northampton? Understanding
the current market dynamics is essential whether you're looking to buy a dream
home or sell a cherished property. Recent data reveals a fascinating surge in
property transactions across the UK, with Northampton included in all this
bustling activity.
As of April 2024, property sales and listings have increased
significantly, indicating a robust market. Yet, what does this mean for you? Is
Northampton a buyers’ market, favouring those looking to purchase, or a sellers’
market, giving an edge to those wishing to sell?
This article delves into the latest figures and trends,
offering crucial insights and strategic advice for prospective buyers and
sellers in Northampton. Read on to discover the opportunities in this dynamic
property landscape and how you can best navigate it to your advantage.
Up to Sunday, 21st April 2024, the number of UK homes that
went under offer (sold STC) was 10.3% higher than during the same period in
2023.
(377,217 home sales agreed on YTD in 2024 compared to 341,271 YTD in 2023)
Even more interesting when we compare the average
of 2017/18/19 year to date (YTD) sales agreed figure of 351,027.
Every UK region has seen an increase in the
number of properties selling (subject to contract). Yet what is more interesting
is that the different regions of
the UK property market have shown a remarkable uniformity in growth across the
country for the YTD in 2024, signalling robust health and widespread
confidence.
Leading the charge, Inner London
showcased a stellar rise of 21.09%, closely followed by Outer London at 20.47%,
reinforcing the enduring appeal of the capital. East Anglia and the South East
were not far behind, registering impressive gains of 19.65% and 19.48%,
respectively, underscoring the continuous attractiveness of the South East. The
Midlands, both East and West, also enjoyed substantial growth at 18.20% and
18.02%, indicating a resilient market presence. Up North, the North West at
17.70% and Yorkshire & Humber at 17.27% demonstrated significant upward
movement, whilst the South West advanced with a respectable 16.11% increase.
The North East, Wales, Scotland, and
Ulster presented growth figures of 14.74%, 14.00%, 12.43%, and 12.38%,
respectively, suggesting a balanced expansion across the entire UK. Although
most pronounced in London and the South East, the growth spectrum exhibits a
promising scenario for the UK property sector, with the narrow gap between the
highest and lowest growth regions illustrating a cohesive national uptrend.
In addition to increased property sales, the supply of UK properties on
the market in April 2024 was 11.8% higher than in April 2023.
(654,913 properties
for sale in April 2024 versus 585,741 for sale in April 2023)
This increase in
the number of properties for sale is good news, as it gives buyers greater
choice.
Even if you sell
your property, there's no guarantee that it will go through to exchange of
contracts and completion. Thankfully, 2024 sale fall-throughs are at 22.5% of
gross sales YTD, which is much lower than the 7-year average of 24.3%.
Net sales (house sales agreed less sale fall throughs) paint an
even better picture, with a rise of 12.6% year on year.
(295,912 net
sales YTD 21st April 2024 vs 262,871 net sales YTD 21st
April 2023)
Prospective purchasers and vendors are witnessing a rise in
confidence as mortgage rates, after climbing sharply last year, have begun to
decline recently. Inflation stands at 3.8%, a steep fall from the 9.6% high of
October 2022. Furthermore, average mortgage rates have settled, with many banks
and building societies now offering decent rates. For example, at the time of
writing, Nat West was offering a 5-year fixed rate of 4.37% for those with a
30% deposit, Virgin Money a 5-year fixed rate of 4.69% with a 10% deposit and
the Leeds Building Society a 5.14% 5-years fixed for those with a 5% deposit.
Despite these positive signs, Northampton house price levels
are expected to hold steady, with the market remaining buyer-friendly due to
mortgage affordability issues.
The easing of mortgage costs (compared to the summer of
2023) has undoubtedly sparked renewed interest and dealings in the property
market, particularly after a lull period in the second half of last year, when
many considering a move put their plans on hold. This revitalisation is
anticipated to boost the volume of homes sold, which had dipped to an 11-year
low of just over one million in 2023.
Nevertheless, it's unlikely this momentum will cause a
marked rise in house prices in 2024, with the market maintaining a delicate
equilibrium, in contrast to 2021's full-on extreme sellers’ market.
Northampton homeowners planning to sell in 2024 may be
buoyed by this uptick in market activity; however, they should temper their
expectations as buyers remain keen on value, which could dampen the current
pace of recovery in the property market. Caution is also advised due to the
traditional hesitance seen in the property market during a general election
year, with buyers and sellers often taking a more conservative approach as the
election looms.
This is the time to be realistic with your pricing if
you’re
going to put your Northampton home on the market.
So, what sort
of market are we in?
The
measurement of whether it's a buyers', balanced, or sellers' market is based on
the proportion of properties marked as "Sold STC" and "Under
Offer" compared with the total number of properties on the market. For
example, if there are 43 properties sold STC and 100 properties available/for
sale, then 43 as a percentage of 100 is 43%.
This isn't
just a numbers game; it's a gauge of market sentiment:
· Extreme Buyers' Market (0%-20%)
· Buyers' Market (21%-29%)
· Balanced Market (30%-40%)
· Sellers' Market (41%-49%)
· Hot Sellers' Market (50%-59%)
· Extreme Sellers' Market (60%+)
The weight of
these brackets can’t be overstated. They directly impact everything from
listing prices to negotiation leverage.
Current Northampton Property Market Snapshot
To calculate Northampton's
property market's current status, let's incorporate our most recent findings
for April 2024. The
numbers and statistics have been taken from the website 'The Advisory', which
has calculated the market state for many years. I am sharing them from the summer
of 2018 to April 2024.
· The Northampton postcode districts of NN1 to NN7 combined showed an extreme
sellers’ market at 76% in the summer of 2021, which eased off towards the end
of 2022.
· Throughout 2023, the Northampton property market was in the late 40% to
early 50% ranges (a sellers’ market into a hot sellers’ market).
· As expected for the time of year, in February 2024, this had reduced
down to 48%. Since then it has increased slightly to 51%.
The Consequences and Thoughts for Northampton's Property Market
This new data
prompts me to take stock and ponder.
For Northampton
sellers: We are transitioning into a market where sellers must be more
strategic, flexible, and patient. It would help if you braced yourself for your
home to be on the market for longer with an extended marketing period.
Realistic pricing is even more vital than ever. Setting at the right
price is crucial for attracting suitable buyers.
Why? Because
your chances of selling your Northampton home have dropped in the last few
years.
In the spring
of 2022, 65.65% of Northampton homes that were on the market sold and
completed. Since 1st January 2024, that figure has dropped to 49.58%.
Your marketing strategy is just as important. Employing
tools such virtual tours or targeted social media campaigns could be particularly beneficial in this more ‘normal’ market of 2024.
For Northampton buyers: Expect intense competition if you're
interested in highly sought-after types of properties. Securing mortgage
pre-approval can put you ahead of other prospective buyers. Consider expanding
your search area to discover potential deals that others may overlook.
Conversely, in less competitive markets, Northampton buyers have more leverage
to negotiate, from the offer price to inclusions like carpets, fixtures, and
fittings. You will also have
the luxury of choice and time with other homes.
Remember, four out of five sellers are also buyers, so
what you may lose on the sale might be compensated for on the purchase.
External
influences, such as global economic trends, inflation and interest rate
repercussions, could all cast shadows on the Northampton property market. The
election will undoubtedly affect the Northampton property market, as everything
will go on ice in the three or four weeks before the election itself.
Final thoughts: As we progress into the fifth month of 2024,
the Northampton property market presents challenges and opportunities for
buyers and sellers. Understanding these market subtleties is crucial for anyone
considering a move, from existing homeowners to seasoned buy-to-let investors,
first-time buyers or those looking to relocate to Northampton.
Stay flexible, stay informed and remember that your
home-moving experience is as much about the journey as the destination.
What are your
thoughts on Northampton's developing property market?
Do you
anticipate any other shifts or trends in the Northampton property market?
What are your
local insights and experiences?